Public Intervention Backtester

Compare actual federal allocations against need-weighted counterfactuals across policy domains.

How It Works

1

Ingest

USAspending + ACS data by county-year

2

Score

Train need model on historical outcomes

3

Reallocate

Redistribute under same budget + fairness rules

4

Compare

Actual vs need-weighted allocation alignment

Policy Domains

Synthetic Grant Program

Ready to run

Synthetic test data — validates framework with known DGP.

Traffic Safety Grants

Needs data

Requires domain-specific data sources.

Federal Education Grants

Needs data

Requires domain-specific data sources.

Federal Housing Assistance

Needs data

Requires domain-specific data sources.

Federal Health Grants

Needs data

Requires domain-specific data sources.